Redundancies: Week 5 Picks
We followed a completely mediocre week of picking with another mediocre week of picking. We went 7-7 with one push. The good news is that we are already 1-0 this week, as Brady and the Patriots remained a safe October bet at home.
There has been much consternation about the level of play, the great quarterback ratings, the tackling and sack rules and on and on.
A couple things of note, college football has had similar rules for a decade. Football remains football. The sack rule needs clarification, at the same time, as teams are figuring out, there are other ways to sack a quarterback than burying his ass into the turf.
The NFL likes ratings, points mean ratings. The rules will continue to benefit the offense and teams with good defenses will continue to win Super Bowls.
Now, to the picks:
Last week: 7-7
Overall record: 30-30
Picks in CAPS
Titans (-3) at BILLS - At some point Buffalo will start competing at home again right?
Dolphins at BENGALS (-7) - I’m not sold on the Dolphins, especially on the road. Bengals are humming on offense and have Joe Mixon back this week.
RAVENS (-3) at Browns - The Ravens are a bad first half on a short week of being undefeated. The Ravens have once again circled the wagons and built a playoff contender.
PACKERS at Lions (Even) - It would be silly to pick against Green Bay.
JAGUARS at Chiefs (-3) - I like Mahomes and I like the Chiefs, but the MNF broadcast was insufferable, and reality is about to set in against the Jags defense.
Broncos at JETS (Even) - Ugly game, take the home team.
Falcons at STEELERS (-3) This will be a shootout. Right now Atlanta’s defense seems a little worse than Pittsburgh’s.
GIANTS at Panthers (-7.5) - Hunch this is a surprisingly close game.
RAIDERS at Chargers (-5.5) - This game is decided by a field goal late, book it.
VIKINGS at Eagles (-3) - The Vikings defense has been embarrassed before, and they always pull it together. They’ve had an offseason to figure out the Eagles offense after that stinging defeat in the championship game.
Cardinals at 49ers(-4.5) - Cardinals, despite Josh Rosen’s impressive debut, are terrible. The 49ers are less terrible right now.
Rams (-7.5) at SEAHAWKS - First time the Seahawks have been more than a touchdown underdog at home since the “Beast Quake’ game of 2010. A Seahawks win here seems less far fetched than a 7-9 team beating the defending Super Bowl champs.
Cowboys at TEXANS (-3) - This is a toss up.
REDSKINS at Saints (-7) - I’m always higher on the Skins then I should be. But I’ll ride them for one more week.